Atmospheric Rivers and British
Winter Floods
David Lavers, University of
Reading
Damage from
flooding in the winter and autumn seasons has been widespread in the United
Kingdom and Western Europe over recent decades. In this seminar the connection
between atmospheric rivers (ARs) and the largest winter floods in a range of
British basins will be discussed from a hydrological and atmospheric
stand-point. Firstly, an analysis of the hydrological time series is used to
evaluate atmospheric fields before the largest floods to show the AR-flood
link. Secondly, an algorithm is introduced that screens for ARs in climate
model output; this is followed by showing the strong connection between the
identified ARs and British winter floods. Future changes to ARs under climate
change will also be considered.
The
seminar will be held in room 311 of the Geography and Environmental Sciences
Building between 4 and 5 pm. All are welcome to attend.
No comments:
Post a Comment